Seasonal and Time-Series Analysis of Alcohol Intoxication-Related Cases in Hyderabad, Pakistan: Seasonal Analysis of Alcohol Intoxication

Aisha Rasheed; Naseem Akter; Rabail Altaf; Ishrat Bibi; Abdul Samad; Muhammad Shafay; Mohammad Akber Kazi

doi:10.54393/pjhs.v5i05.1525

Authors

Aisha Rasheed Department of Forensic Medicine and Toxicology, Liaquat University of Medical and Health Sciences, Jamshoro, Pakistan
Naseem Akter Department of Anatomy, Sindh Medical College, Jinnah Sindh Medical University, Karachi, Pakistan
Rabail Altaf Department of Forensic Medicine and Toxicology, Gambat Medical College, Pir Abdul Qadir Shah Jeelani Institute of Medical Sciences, Gambat, Pakistan
Ishrat Bibi Department of Forensic Medicine and Toxicology, Liaquat University of Medical and Health Sciences, Jamshoro, Pakistan
Abdul Samad Department of Forensic Medicine and Toxicology, Liaquat University of Medical and Health Sciences, Jamshoro, Pakistan
Muhammad Shafay Department of Forensic Medicine and Toxicology, Hazrat Bari Imam Sarkar Medical and Dental College, Islamabad, Pakistan
Mohammad Akber Kazi Department of Forensic Medicine and Toxicology, Bilawal Medical College, Liaquat University of Medical and Health Sciences, Jamshoro, Pakistan

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54393/pjhs.v5i05.1525

Keywords:

Seasonal Trend, Alcohol Intoxication, Time Series Analysis, Medico Legal Cases

Abstract

Cases related to alcohol intoxication are important because they can help raise awareness about the dangers of excessive alcohol consumption and the need for responsible alcohol use. The present research studied the seasonal trend of alcohol intoxication-related cases in Hyderabad, Pakistan. Objective: To conduct seasonal and time series analysis of alcohol intoxication cases. Methods: Prospective study was conducted at Casualty Department, Liaquat University Hospital Hyderabad from January 2020 to December 2022. One hundred and eighty nine cases of alcohol intoxication-related cases were enrolled. Data was presented as frequency and averages of month-wise cases. Different plots i.e, seasonal index plot and time series plot were created to demonstrate the seasonal trend. Results: The largest number of cases were observed in April and December (n ≥ 25). The second most frequent cases occurred in months of June and November with 18 to 20 frequencies. The seasonal pattern was further illustrated by time-series analysis which showed that April and December had higher numbers of cases compared to other months. Conclusions: The study suggested a little decline in alcohol intoxication-related sufferer. These findings may highlight the importance to developed public awareness about the responsible use of alcohol.

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